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A nun walks past a Yes poster in Dublin earlier this month. Sam Boal

Latest referendum polls show the 'Yes' side is ahead

This is likely to be the last of the national surveys before polling day.

TWO OPINION polls on the Eighth Amendment referendum shows that the ‘Yes’ side is ahead, with the number of undecided voters declining.

The Sunday Business Post/Red C poll published today shows that 56% are in favour of voting to repeal the Eighth Amendment, a three-point increase on the same question last month.

The No side is up one point to 27%, while the number of ‘don’t knows’ is at 14%. Three percent refused to answer.

As an additional question, people were asked to estimate the result of the referendum, a technique which predicted the result of the same-sex marriage referendum exactly.

The ‘wisdom of the crowds’ technique predicted that in the Eighth Amendment referendum next Friday, 56% would vote ‘Yes’ and 44% would vote ‘No’.

The poll of more than 1,000 adults was taken between 10 and 16 May. Today’s poll is likely to be one of the last national surveys to be published before polling day.

A Sunday Times/Behaviour & Attitudes poll, also published today, showed that the ‘Yes’ side is on 52%, rising by five percentage points, and that the ‘No’ side is on 24%. When the undecideds are removed, that represents a 68-32 lead for the ‘Yes’ side, according to the poll.

The last poll on the issue, published in the Irish Times on Thursday, showed support for removal of the Eighth Amendment at 58% to 42% once undecideds are excluded.

Including those yet to make up their minds, the Yes vote was placed at 44% with the No vote at 32% and 17% undecided. 7% said they would not vote or declined to say.

Campaigning continued this weekend, with high profile figures on either side of the debate making appeals to win over undecided voters.

“We are now in the final week of campaigning in the referendum to remove the eighth amendment. The eighth has caused and continues to cause untold suffering to women. Next Friday is an opportunity to right this wrong,” Sinn Féin leader Mary Lou McDonald said, canvassing on Dublin’s Moore street yesterday.

“At all times in this campaign we must ground ourselves in respect and fact and recognise that every day women in this country are suffering under the eighth amendment.

5338 Sinn Fein_90543212 Mary Lou McDonald canvassed on Moore Street yesterday. Rollingnews.ie Rollingnews.ie

“The fact is that the eighth amendment causes further trauma to victims of rape.

The fact that the eighth amendment forces young girls to import abortion pills illegally at great danger to themselves.
The fact is that women are suffering and will continue to suffer under the eighth amendment.
The crucial fact is that removing the eighth amendment is the only way to help women who are seeking a termination because they are pregnant as a result of rape or who are dealing with the devastating diagnosis of fatal foetal abnormality.

Catholic primate Archbishop Eamon Martin said in his latest message that to be against abortion is not simply “a Catholic thing”.

The innate dignity of every human life is a value for the whole of society – for people of all faiths and none. It is rooted in reason as well as in faith. To take away an innocent human life can never be simply a matter of personal choice.

90414710_90414710 Archbishop Eamon Martin pictured alongside Dublin Archbishop Diarmuid Martin. Sam Boal / Rollingnews.ie Sam Boal / Rollingnews.ie / Rollingnews.ie

Martin appealed to voters to say no to repealing the Eighth Amendment “and then do everything you can to ensure that our country will always provide the best possible care and support for all mothers and their unborn children”.

Voting in the Eighth Amendment referendum begins at 7am this coming Friday, with polls closing at 10pm.

- With reporting by Daragh Brophy 

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    Install the app to use these features.
    Mute The Guru
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    Feb 28th 2020, 12:44 PM

    People who call their son Jack are also extremely likely to drive a VW Golf and think Mrs Brown’s Boys is the best comedy on TV.

    234
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    Mute Mark Murphy
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    Feb 28th 2020, 1:14 PM

    @The Guru: really..I dont have a golf and hate mrs browns boys.
    Drive A4 and watch friends ;)

    24
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    Mute David Markey
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    Feb 28th 2020, 1:44 PM

    @Mark Murphy: I drive an Audi and hate Mrs brown’s boys with a passion.

    18
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    Mute Sequoia
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    Feb 28th 2020, 12:33 PM

    And next year we’ll have at least one Corona

    118
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    Mute Chin Feeyin
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    Feb 28th 2020, 12:43 PM

    @Sequoia: and lots of Mary Lou’s.

    93
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    Mute Honeybee
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    Feb 28th 2020, 12:57 PM

    @Chin Feeyin: Funny thing when I was a child , my first tea set was a Mary Lou tea set, four cups, saucers ,plates,teapot,sugar and cream jug and four little spoons, they were coloured yellow with red flowers and made in tin by chad valley, they are collectors items now.

    17
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    Mute greg merrin
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    Feb 28th 2020, 12:52 PM

    I was assured that Mohammed was in the top 5? What’s going on?

    79
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    Mute ObsidianShine
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    Feb 28th 2020, 12:56 PM

    @greg merrin: Did Gemma tell you that?

    99
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    Mute Nolan Spare
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    Feb 28th 2020, 1:47 PM

    @greg merrin: 78 and creeping up

    31
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    Mute Nolan Spare
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    Feb 28th 2020, 1:52 PM

    @Nolan Spare: it’s the most common name in the UK now taking all the different spellings into account.

    25
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    Mute Bountyop
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    Feb 28th 2020, 1:52 PM

    @greg merrin: Definitely a cover up…can’t see a ‘foreign’ name in the top 20…shows a further cover up of the imminent takeover of Ireland by foreigners with staggering birth rates simultaneously stealing jobs and claiming benefits

    25
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    Mute Bountyop
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    Feb 28th 2020, 1:56 PM

    @greg merrin: It’s a conspiracy…it’s definitely number 1, as the staggeringly high birth rate of immigrants and them simultaneously taking jobs & benefits is leading to an imminent apocalypse & collapse of Irish society

    9
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    Mute ihcalaM
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    Feb 28th 2020, 2:56 PM

    @Bountyop: Are you a parody account?

    7
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    Mute greg merrin
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    Feb 28th 2020, 4:31 PM

    @Nolan Spare: You mean it has fallen from 63 last year? That type of creeping up?

    7
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    Mute Fergal O'Hagan
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    Feb 28th 2020, 12:43 PM

    I am happy that in each of my 3 kids school years there is not another kid with the same name as them!

    75
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    Mute Keelan O'neill
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    Feb 28th 2020, 1:31 PM

    @Fergal O’Hagan: can i take a guess. Attracta, Assumpta & Dymphna.

    110
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    Mute Wheresmyjumper
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    Feb 28th 2020, 1:33 PM

    @Fergal O’Hagan: Kim Kardashian can say the same thing how does that make you feel? thats what the world needs more of…pretentious parents with notions

    48
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    Mute Fergal O'Hagan
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    Feb 28th 2020, 5:52 PM

    @Keelan O’neill: close, Bingo, Bango and Bongo!!!

    6
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    Mute Fergal O'Hagan
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    Feb 28th 2020, 5:55 PM

    @Wheresmyjumper: didn’t go as extreme as her but just gave them regular names that aren’t common. We used our imagination and relatives names!!! Trust me I have no notions!!!

    7
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    Mute Bart Teeling
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    Feb 28th 2020, 1:01 PM

    C’mon folks, jack again? Sick of it at this stage. As well as the rest of the downton abbey type names.

    78
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    Mute Chris Linehan
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    Feb 28th 2020, 1:09 PM

    @Bart Teeling: Pipe down Bort!

    110
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    Mute Martin Byrne
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    Feb 28th 2020, 1:43 PM

    @Bart Teeling: Don’t have a cow man !!

    21
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    Mute Mark Mooney
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    Feb 28th 2020, 4:29 PM

    @Chris Linehan: are you talking to me ?

    1
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    Mute Keith ☘️
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    Feb 28th 2020, 12:47 PM

    No Keith on the list? Shocked!

    38
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    Mute Newto2016
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    Feb 28th 2020, 2:52 PM

    Guys, we have enough Jacks now, come on! Show some originality

    40
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    Mute rice water
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    Feb 28th 2020, 4:30 PM

    @Newto2016: the toilet or the names?

    13
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    Mute Malachy
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    Feb 28th 2020, 1:48 PM

    Feeling pretty unique

    29
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    Mute Honeybee
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    Feb 28th 2020, 12:51 PM

    The new boys name which is taken off big time is ‘Theo’,unbelievable numbers calling their child with this name.

    28
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    Mute Ross
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    Feb 28th 2020, 1:20 PM

    Ross is better than Jack

    24
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    Mute Edel Boyle
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    Feb 28th 2020, 4:06 PM

    I have a little girl last January and called her Mary-Anne definitely not on the list since 1969

    21
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    Mute munsterman1
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    Feb 28th 2020, 2:00 PM

    Are you sure that’s not the English list?

    21
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    Mute Peter Leonard
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    Feb 28th 2020, 1:25 PM

    3 Rueben’s in my kids class

    19
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    Mute Ananya Sharma
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    Feb 28th 2020, 2:17 PM

    @Peter Leonard: 4 and you’ll have the makings of a cube.

    93
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    Mute nothing witty
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    Feb 28th 2020, 2:46 PM

    When I was young I rarely heard of any other boys/girls called Darragh/Daragh. Now we’re everywhere. I turn my head every time I hear someone say the name as I’ve inadvertently been programmed to think I’m the only one and they have be talking to me…

    12
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    Mute owentighe
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    Feb 28th 2020, 3:28 PM

    Odhran seems to be the most popular boys name. Makes the list twice. One with a fada and the other without.

    11
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    Mute Bountyop
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    Feb 28th 2020, 2:00 PM

    @Stevo The Man On A Mission Returns: it appears to have fallen from 63 to 78…

    11
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    Mute Ananya Sharma
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    Feb 28th 2020, 2:15 PM

    @Bountyop: It increased from 63 to 78.

    10
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    Mute Edel Boyle
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    Feb 28th 2020, 4:06 PM

    I have a little girl last January and called her Mary-Anne definitely not on the list since 1969

    9
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    Mute nothing witty
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    Feb 28th 2020, 4:10 PM

    @Edel Boyle: Repeating yourself isn’t going to move her name up the list, Edel! I’m kidding, congrats and it’s a lovely name!

    46
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    Mute rice water
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    Feb 28th 2020, 4:33 PM

    embed the maps next time lads

    9
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    Mute AnnieBelle
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    Feb 28th 2020, 1:39 PM

    I know 6 Noah’s. I have a Jack and dont know another one

    7
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    Mute Ross
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    Feb 28th 2020, 1:44 PM

    @AnnieBelle: all noahs look the same

    26
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    Mute Goban Saor
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    Feb 28th 2020, 3:37 PM

    @AnnieBelle: I heard a fellow in the Rotunda with a really strong Cork accent whose wife just had a boy.

    A nurse asked him if they’d come up with a name for their baby boy, “Noah”, he replied. “I’m sure you’ll think of something” the nurse said”… He looked at her like her two heads, “Noah, that’s his name, like”

    55
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    Mute Zmeevo Libe
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    Feb 28th 2020, 7:01 PM

    What is it about giving children shortened names? Charlie instead of Charles, Katie instead of Katherine. I thought only the Americans do that. One day Charlie will be 40 year old, maybe inposition of authority. I mean name them properly and then call them Robie if you want!

    8
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    Mute Edel Boyle
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    Feb 28th 2020, 4:07 PM

    I’d a little girl last Jan and named her Mary-Anne definitely not on the list since 1969 lol

    3
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    Mute Garreth Byrne
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    Feb 28th 2020, 5:40 PM

    Jack was No. 1 and Daniel(s) was No. 5. Did any parents with the surname Burbon name their baby son Jack Daniels?

    2
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    Mute Martina Loughlin
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    Feb 28th 2020, 7:11 PM

    Obviously made a mistake with my Daughter Emily 2012, but not with Ben 2007

    2
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    Mute Edel Boyle
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    Feb 28th 2020, 4:06 PM

    I have a little girl last January and called her Mary-Anne definitely not on the list since 1969

    1
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    Mute Bridget O'Hanlon
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    Feb 28th 2020, 9:18 PM

    @Edel Boyle: when the Journal says there’s a problem posting you comment they are lying. Does it all the time, just ignore it

    9
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